I wrote back in February:
I predict that Firefox browser marketshare will be near 20% by end of year 2004. It's that good and getting better.
And browser marketshare numbers so far:
| 2004 | IE 6 | IE 5 | O 7 | Moz | NN 3 | NN 4 | NN 7 |
| September | 68.3% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 17.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.3% |
| August | 70.3% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 15.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.4% |
| July | 71.0% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 13.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.4% |
| June | 72.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 11.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.4% |
| May | 72.6% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 11.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.4% |
| April | 72.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | 10.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.4% |
| March | 72.1% | 10.7% | 2.1% | 9.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% |
| February | 71.5% | 11.5% | 2.2% | 9.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% |
| January | 71.3% | 12.8% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% |
Actual marketshare of Firefox is less than the 17.7% because this statistic does not distinguish between Mozilla and Firefox. My guestimate for actual Firefox marketshare is 12~14%.
So it looks like my prediction is still on track.
Update:
Apparently News.com is seeing similar numbers:
Among CNET News.com readers, site visitors with the Firefox and Mozilla browsers jumped to 18 percent for the first two weeks of September, up from 8 percent in January.
Don Park's Weekly Habit 